Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date Polling firm Sample size Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO NOVA SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK-MKP Lead
23-29 November 2016 Focus[1] 1,008 23.3% 13.6% 8.2% w.OĽaNO 13.7% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 1.2% 5.9% 4.4% 9.6%
3-10 October/November 2016 AKO[2] 1,000 27.5% 15.4% 8.9% w.OĽaNO 14.4% 10.0% 6.9% 6.1% 1.2% 5.6% 3.5% 12.1%
28-7 October/November 2016 Focus[3] 1,020 26.9% 12.1% 8.0% w.OĽaNO 12.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.7% 1.6% 6.3% 3.9% 13.1%
19-16 September/October 2016 Median[4] 991 30.5% 14.5% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 11.0% 9.0% 4.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.0% 4.0% 16.0%
15-22 October 2016 Polis[5] 1,409 27.1% 14.0% 8.5% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 10.1% 6.8% 8.2% 0.5% 4.6% 3.9% 13.1%
17-22 October 2016 AKO[6] 1,000 27.5% 17.7% 6.4% w.OĽaNO 15.4% 8.7% 6.2% 7.2% 0.7% 5.9% 3.7% 9.8%
22-22 August/September 2016 Median[7] 984 30.5% 15.0% 10.5% w.OĽaNO 12.5% 8.0% 3.5% 7.5% 2.0% 6.0% 3.5% 15.5%
12-20 September 2016 AKO[8] 1,000 29.6% 17.5% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 13.1% 11.1% 4.3% 5.8% 0.8% 4.2% 2.6% 12.1%
8-14 September 2016 Focus[9] 1,009 27.7% 13.5% 8.2% w.OĽaNO 12.6% 8.3% 6.8% 7.7% 1.4% 6.0% 3.6% 14.2%
25-21 July/August 2016 Median[10] 1,014 29.0% 16.0% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 12.5% 10.0% 3.0% 7.0% 2.5% 6.0% 3.0% 13.0%
11-16 August 2016 Focus[11] 1,002 27.0% 13.7% 9.7% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 8.9% 6.9% 6.1% 1.4% 4.6% 3.6% 13.0%
22-28 July 2016 AKO[12] 1,000 29.9% 17.1% 7.0% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 11.6% 5.0% 6.3% 1.0% 4.1% 2.8% 12.8%
25-1 June/July 2016 Polis[13] 1,433 26.2% 16.6% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 13.5% 10.7% 4.8% 5.4% 1.1% 5.1% 4.5% 9.6%
14-20 June 2016 Focus[14] 1,003 26.4% 14.1% 9.9% w.OĽaNO 14.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 1.4% 4.8% 3.5% 11.9%
4-11 May 2016 AKO[15] 1,000 29.8% 16.2% 7.1% w.OĽaNO 12.4% 11.7% 5.8% 7.1% 1.8% 4.2% 3.4% 13.6%
3-9 May 2016 Focus[16] 1,003 28.7% 13.0% 8.8% w.OĽaNO 11.2% 8.9% 5.9% 6.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 15.7%
22-29 April 2016 Polis[17] 1,502 30.7% 14.5% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 12.2% 9.8% 4.2% 6.0% 2.0% 3.9% 4.2% 16.2%
4-7 April 2016 AKO[18] 1,000 28.8% 16.2% 6.9% w.OĽaNO 13.7% 10.9% 5.4% 6.5% 1.8% 4.4% 3.8% 12.6%
11-16 March 2016 Focus[19] 1,023 27.5% 12.5% 10.0% w.OĽaNO 11.1% 8.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 15.0%
10-14 March 2016 Polis[20] 1,096 30.0% 15.9% 11.0% w.OĽaNO 11.9% 9.5% 4.4% 5.3% 2.3% 3.9% 4.7% 14.1%
2016
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 2,648,184 28.3% 12.1% 11.0% w.OĽaNO 8.6% 8.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.1% 16.2%

Seat projections

Date Polling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO NOVA SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK-MKP
23-29 November 2016 Focus[21] 40 23 14 w.OĽaNO 23 15 13 12 0 10 0
3-10 October/November 2016 AKO[22] 44 24 14 w.OĽaNO 23 16 11 9 0 9 0
28-7 October/November 2016 Focus[23] 46 20 13 w.OĽaNO 22 14 13 11 0 11 0
19-16 September/October 2016 Median[24] 46 24 18 w.OĽaNO 21 18 0 13 0 10 0
15-22 October 2016 Polis[25] 46 24 14 w.OĽaNO 24 17 11 14 0 0 0
17-22 October 2016 AKO[26] 44 28 10 w.OĽaNO 24 14 10 11 0 9 0
22-22 August/September 2016 Median[27] 46 26 20 w.OĽaNO 23 14 0 11 0 10 0
12-20 September 2016 AKO[28] 52 30 16 w.OĽaNO 23 19 0 10 0 0 0
8-14 September 2016 Focus[29] 46 22 13 w.OĽaNO 21 14 11 13 0 10 0
25-21 July/August 2016 Median[30] 48 27 16 w.OĽaNO 21 17 0 11 0 11 0
11-16 August 2016 Focus[31] 47 24 17 w.OĽaNO 24 15 12 11 0 0 0
22-28 July 2016 AKO[32] 50 28 12 w.OĽaNO 23 19 8 10 0 0 0
25-1 June/July 2016 Polis[33] 45 29 16 w.OĽaNO 23 19 0 9 0 9 0
14-20 June 2016 Focus[34] 46 25 17 w.OĽaNO 25 15 12 10 0 0 0
4-11 May 2016 AKO[35] 50 27 12 w.OĽaNO 21 19 9 12 0 0 0
3-9 May 2016 Focus[36] 52 24 16 w.OĽaNO 20 16 11 11 0 0 0
22-29 April 2016 Polis[37] 56 26 17 w.OĽaNO 22 18 0 11 0 0 0
4-7 April 2016 AKO[38] 49 28 12 w.OĽaNO 23 18 9 11 0 0 0
11-16 March 2016 Focus[39] 50 22 18 w.OĽaNO 20 16 14 10 0 0 0
10-14 March 2016 Polis[40] 54 29 20 w.OĽaNO 21 17 0 9 0 0 0
2016
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 49 21 19 w.OĽaNO 15 14 11 11 10 0 0

References

  1. ↑ "Prieskum Focus vidí slabý Smer a silnejúceho Danka so Sulíkom". TA3.sk. Retrieved 1 December 2016.
  2. ↑ "Prieskum: Koalícia takmer stratila väčšinu. Pozrite si možnosti pre novú vládu". HNonline.sk. Retrieved 15 November 2016.
  3. ↑ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer, Kollár predbehol Most-Híd". sme.sk. Retrieved 11 November 2016.
  4. ↑ "Prieskum: Matovič a Kotleba majú narovnako". aktuality.sk. Retrieved 16 November 2016.
  5. ↑ "Prieskum: SNS a SaS sú rovnako silné, Kotleba má nad 10 percent". TA3.sk. Retrieved 28 October 2016.
  6. ↑ "PRIESKUM: Voľby by vyhral Smer-SD. Ktoré strany by sa ešte dostali do parlamentu?". tvnoviny.sk. Retrieved 24 October 2016.
  7. ↑ "Ďalší prieskum zachytil pád SNS, sulíkovci a matovičovci rastú (+grafy)" (PDF). median.sk. Retrieved 21 October 2016.
  8. ↑ "Ďalší prieskum zachytil pád SNS, sulíkovci a matovičovci rastú (+grafy)". hnonline.sk. Retrieved 23 September 2016.
  9. ↑ "Focus: Dve vládne strany rástli, v parlamente aj Hlinovo KDH". TA3.sk. Retrieved 21 September 2016.
  10. ↑ "Prieskum: Sulíkova SaS výrazne poskočila, Kotleba predbehol Matoviča (grafy)". hnonline.sk. Retrieved 16 September 2016.
  11. ↑ "Focus: V parlamente by bolo 7 strán, Hlinovo KDH pred bránami". TA3.sk. Retrieved 19 August 2016.
  12. ↑ "Najnovší prieskum: Sulíkovci dosiahli najlepší výsledok v histórii". HNonline.sk. Retrieved 29 July 2016.
  13. ↑ "Polis: Podpora Smeru klesá, do parlamentu sedem strán aj s KDH". TA3.sk. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
  14. ↑ "Najnovší volebný prieskum prináša šokujúce výsledky: Smer na historickom dne, SNS valcuje!". Topky.sk. Retrieved 22 June 2016.
  15. ↑ "Prieskum: Smer pri 30 percentách, Kotleba by mal 19 poslancov". ta3.sk (in Slovak). 11 May 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2016.
  16. ↑ "Focus: V parlamente sedem strán, KDH zostáva pred bránami". ta3.sk (in Slovak). 12 May 2016. Retrieved 12 May 2016.
  17. ↑ "Prieskum: Smer si drží preferencie, mimo parlamentu sú Kollár, KDH aj Sieť". sme.sk (in Slovak). 2 May 2016. Retrieved 2 May 2016.
  18. ↑ "Povolebný prieskum: Kotleba pokoril 10 percent, Dankova SNS a sulíkovci narástli najviac". hnonline.sk (in Slovak). 8 April 2016. Retrieved 8 April 2016.
  19. ↑ "Sieť by sa podľa prieskumu opäť nedostala do parlamentu". sme.sk (in Slovak). 23 March 2016. Retrieved 23 March 2016.
  20. ↑ "Prieskum po voľbách: Sieť by prepadla, SaS si polepšila". dennikn.sk (in Slovak). 15 March 2016. Retrieved 15 March 2016.
  21. ↑ "Prieskum Focus vidí slabý Smer a silnejúceho Danka so Sulíkom". TA3.sk. Retrieved 1 December 2016.
  22. ↑ "Prieskum: Koalícia takmer stratila väčšinu. Pozrite si možnosti pre novú vládu". HNonline.sk. Retrieved 15 November 2016.
  23. ↑ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer, Kollár predbehol Most-Híd". sme.sk. Retrieved 11 November 2016.
  24. ↑ "Prieskum: Matovič a Kotleba majú narovnako". aktuality.sk. Retrieved 16 November 2016.
  25. ↑ "Prieskum: SNS a SaS sú rovnako silné, Kotleba má nad 10 percent". TA3.sk. Retrieved 28 October 2016.
  26. ↑ "PRIESKUM: Voľby by vyhral Smer-SD. Ktoré strany by sa ešte dostali do parlamentu?". tvnoviny.sk. Retrieved 24 October 2016.
  27. ↑ "Ďalší prieskum zachytil pád SNS, sulíkovci a matovičovci rastú (+grafy)" (PDF). median.sk. Retrieved 21 October 2016.
  28. ↑ "Ďalší prieskum zachytil pád SNS, sulíkovci a matovičovci rastú (+grafy)". hnonline.sk. Retrieved 23 September 2016.
  29. ↑ "Focus: Dve vládne strany rástli, v parlamente aj Hlinovo KDH". TA3.sk. Retrieved 21 September 2016.
  30. ↑ "Prieskum: Sulíkova SaS výrazne poskočila, Kotleba predbehol Matoviča (grafy)". hnonline.sk. Retrieved 16 September 2016.
  31. ↑ "Focus: V parlamente by bolo 7 strán, Hlinovo KDH pred bránami". TA3.sk. Retrieved 19 August 2016.
  32. ↑ "Najnovší prieskum: Sulíkovci dosiahli najlepší výsledok v histórii". HNonline.sk. Retrieved 29 July 2016.
  33. ↑ "Polis: Podpora Smeru klesá, do parlamentu sedem strán aj s KDH". TA3.sk. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
  34. ↑ "Najnovší volebný prieskum prináša šokujúce výsledky: Smer na historickom dne, SNS valcuje!". Topky.sk. Retrieved 22 June 2016.
  35. ↑ "Prieskum: Smer pri 30 percentách, Kotleba by mal 19 poslancov". ta3.sk (in Slovak). 11 May 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2016.
  36. ↑ "Focus: V parlamente sedem strán, KDH zostáva pred bránami". ta3.sk (in Slovak). 12 May 2016. Retrieved 12 May 2016.
  37. ↑ "Prieskum: Smer si drží preferencie, mimo parlamentu sú Kollár, KDH aj Sieť". sme.sk (in Slovak). 2 May 2016. Retrieved 2 May 2016.
  38. ↑ "Povolebný prieskum: Kotleba pokoril 10 percent, Dankova SNS a sulíkovci narástli najviac". hnonline.sk (in Slovak). 8 April 2016. Retrieved 8 April 2016.
  39. ↑ "Sieť by sa podľa prieskumu opäť nedostala do parlamentu". sme.sk (in Slovak). 23 March 2016. Retrieved 23 March 2016.
  40. ↑ "Prieskum po voľbách: Sieť by prepadla, SaS si polepšila". dennikn.sk (in Slovak). 15 March 2016. Retrieved 15 March 2016.
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