Opinion polling for the Turkish general election, 2011
Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 23rd parliamentary term and in the leadup to the 2011 election by various organisations. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.
Poll results
Results of several polling organisations together:
| Date | Organisation | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | DSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2010 | SONAR[1] | 31.09 | 32.48 | 18.59 | 4.27 | 3.74 | 3.53 |
| June 2010 | Denge[2] | 42.4 | 27.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 4.3 | – |
| July 2010 | SONAR[3] | 31.1 | 33.5 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| August 2010 | Konsensus[4] | 40.1 | 30.6 | 12.0 | – | – | – |
| August 2010 | SONAR[5] | 37.23 | 31.20 | 13.59 | 4.02 | 2.39 | 3.29 |
| September 2010 | Andy-ar[6] | 44.1 | 25.3 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 5.8 | – |
| November 2010 | AKP[7] | 46.8 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | – |
| December 2010 | Konsensus[8] | 40.9 | 26.0 | 15.6 | 7.5 | – | – |
| December 2010 | A&G[9] | 44.0 | 31.0 | 10.0 | – | – | – |
| December 2010 | ORC[10] | 40.7 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 5.4 | – |
| January 2011 | Metropoll[11] | 43.5 | 30.7 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 1.3 | – |
| February 2011 | USADEM[12] | 46.70 | 27.40 | 11.21 | 7.65 | – | – |
| March 2011 | İKSara[13] | 48 | 28 | 15 | 4,5 | 1 | – |
| March 2011 | MetroPoll[14] | 48.3 | 27.5 | 11.7 | 6.6 | 2 | – |
| March 2011 | Konsensus[15] | 46.4 | 25.8 | 13.6 | 5.7 | 2 | – |
| April 9, 2011 | GENAR[16] | 47.9 | 24.4 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 2.8 | – |
| April 2011 | ORC[17][18] | 50.1 | 24.5 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 6.1 | – |
| April 30, 2011 | GENAR[19] | 48.7 | 25.2 | 11.9 | 6.4 | - | – |
| April 2011 | İKSara[20] | 46.4 | 30.3 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 | – |
| April 2011 | Marmara[21] | 47.1 | 27.4 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| April 2011 | AKAM[22] | 41.8 | 25.8 | 15.1 | 6.0 | 3.6 | – |
| 20 May 2011 | ORC[23] | 49.5 | 25.2 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 6.8 | – |
Poll results by Andy-Ar
Results of Andy-Ar:
| Date | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | DP | DSP | BBP | HSP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2010[24] | 46.4 | 24.7 | 10.2 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 5.4 |
| December 2010[25] | 46,8 | 26,1 | 10,6 | 5,9 | 1,7 | 0,9 | 0,5 | 2,6 | 2,8 | 2,1 |
| January 2011[26] | 48,3 | 25,2 | 10,6 | 6,9 | 2,2 | 0,5 | 0,3 | 2,1 | 1,1 | 2,8 |
| February 2011[27] | 48,8 | 26,2 | 10,4 | 6,8 | 1,6 | 0,4 | 0,4 | 2,6 | 0,9 | 1,9 |
| March 2011[28] | 48,2 | 26,8 | 11,2 | 5.8 | 1,2 | – | – | 2,2 | 2,1 | 2.5 |
| April 2011[29] | 51.2 | 28.8 | 10.7 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| May 2011[30] | 52 | 27 | 10.5 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Poll results by Konsensus
Results of Konsensus Research & Consultanty:
| Date | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2010 | 40,6 | 30,6 | 12,0 | 5,4 | 2,3 | 9,6 |
| July 2010 | 41,1 | 29,8 | 12,7 | 6,2 | 3,8 | 6,2 |
| August 2010 | 44,9 | 27,0 | 12,3 | 5,2 | 3,0 | 7,6 |
| September 2010 | 46,9 | 24,5 | 10,6 | 8,7 | 3,5 | 5,8 |
| October 2010 | 44,8 | 25,1 | 12,9 | 6,7 | 3,4 | 7,1 |
| November 2010 | 40,9 | 26,0 | 14,2 | 7,5 | 2,5 | 8,9 |
| December 2010 | 46,0 | 26,5 | 12,5 | 6,7 | 3,2 | 5,1 |
| January 2011 | 49,6 | 26,8 | 11,1 | 6,9 | 0,8 | 4,0 |
| February 2011 | 46,4 | 25,8 | 13,6 | 5,7 | 2,2 | 6,3 |
| March/April 2011[31] | 48,9 | 25,8 | 10,9 | 6,0 | 1,8 | 2,5 |
| May 2011[32] | 48,6 | 28,3 | 11,6 | 6,0 | 1,2 | 1,7 |
References
- ↑ CHP %32.48 ile AK Parti'yi geçti, CNNTURK, 30 Mayıs 2010.
- ↑ http://www.bugun.com.tr/haber-detay/107272-chp-uctu-mhp-cakildi-haberi.aspx
- ↑ http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/39352/turkeyaas_ruling_akp_trails_behind_republicans/
- ↑ http://nethaberci.com/sondakika-siyaset-haberleri/yarin-secim-olsa-ve-referandum-anketi-6129.html
- ↑ SONAR Ağustos 2010 Referandum ve seçim anketi sonuçları açıklandı, Hürriyetport, August 11, 2010.
- ↑ http://pursaklargencleri.com/siyaset/son-secim-anketinde-mhp-cakildi.html
- ↑ http://haber.gazetevatan.com/iste-erdoganin-elindeki-son-secim-anketi/342372/9/Siyaset
- ↑ http://www.haberturk.com/gundem/haber/582720-iste-carpici-anket-sonuclari
- ↑ http://nethaber.com/Haber/171214/CHP-Adil-Gure-SECIM-ANKETI/
- ↑ http://www.stratejikboyut.com/haber/iste-aralik-ayi-secim-anketi--47774.html
- ↑ http://www.pressturk.com/haber/en-son-secim-anketi-ak-parti-435-chp/40662.html
- ↑ http://www.haber3.com/secim-anketine-gore-turkiyede-durum-foto-galerisi-15469.htm
- ↑ http://www.zaman.com.tr/haber.do?haberno=1105220&title=chpyi-memur-ak-partiyi-ev-hanimlari-yukseltiyor&haberSayfa=0
- ↑ http://www.todayszaman.com/news-239150-majority-welcomes-headscarved-deputies-opinion-poll-finds.html
- ↑ http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=survey-experts-don8217t-see-a-new-composition-at-parliament-next-term-2011-03-21
- ↑ İşte partilerin son oy oranları
- ↑
- ↑ http://www.istanbulhaber.com.tr/haber/orcnin-nisan-ayi-secim-anketi-sasirtti-78438.htm
- ↑ İşte en son seçim anketi
- ↑ IKSara Arastirma Sirketi Secmenin Nabzini Tuttu
- ↑
- ↑
- ↑ Seçimlere 23 gün kala son seçim anketi
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_kasim_2010.ppt
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_aralik_2010.ppt
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_ocak_2011.ppt
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/Türkiye-Siyasi-Gündem-Araştırması-Şubat-2011.ppt
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/mart-2011-siyasi-gündem-araştırması.ppt
- ↑ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/nisan-2011.doc
- ↑ http://www.stargazete.com/politika/ak-parti-yuzde-52-oy-ile-lider-chp-yuzde-25-mhp-yuzde-10-haber-351823.htm
- ↑
- ↑
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|---|---|
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See also: Elections in the Ottoman Empire | |
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