United States presidential election in Oregon, 2016

United States presidential election in Oregon, 2016
Oregon
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 999,850[1] 781,480
Percentage 49.8% 38.3%

County Results
  Clinton—70-80%
  Clinton—60-70%
  Clinton—50-60%
  Clinton—<50%
  Trump—<50%
  Trump—50-60%
  Trump—60-70%
  Trump—70-80%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Donald J. Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On May 17, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican and Constitution parties' respective nominees for President (the Green primary was on May 21 and the Libertarian primary was on May 27, with the Independent primary on July 18).[2] The Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated were unable to vote.

The Democratic candidate has won Oregon in every election since 1988. Hillary Clinton continued the Democratic tradition in Oregon, carrying the state with 50% of the vote, a slightly reduced margin from President Obama in 2012. Donald Trump received 38% of the vote.

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination either.[9] With their terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th President and 48th Vice President of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Oregon

Besides Lyndon Johnson's landslide victory in 1964, the Republican party's candidate won Oregon in every year from 1948 to 1984. Since then, however, the Democratic candidate has carried the state in every election, including a narrow victory in the 2000 election. The last statewide election won by a Republican candidate was in the 2002 Senate election, all statewide elected officials as of election day were Democrats, and Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 12.09% in the 2012 election.

Primary Elections

Democratic primary

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Oregon Democratic primary, 2016
Oregon
May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17)
 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 36 25
Popular vote 360,829 269,846
Percentage 56.24% 42.06%

Oregon results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
Oregon Democratic primary, May 17, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 360,829 56.24% 36 3 39
Hillary Clinton 269,846 42.06% 25 7 32
Misc. 10,920 1.70% 0 0 0
(available) N/A 0 3 3
Total 641,595 100% 61 13 74
Source: The Green Papers, Oregon Secretary of State - Official Election Results

Republican primary

Six candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Oregon Republican primary, 2016
Oregon
May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17)
 
Candidate Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich
Home state New York Texas Ohio
Delegate count 18 5 5
Popular vote 252,748 65,513 62,248
Percentage 64.16% 16.63% 15.80%

Oregon results by county
  Donald Trump
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)
Oregon Republican primary, May 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 252,748 64.16% 18 0 18
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 65,513 16.63% 5 0 5
John Kasich (withdrawn) 62,248 15.80% 5 0 5
Write-in 13,411 3.40% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 393,920 100.00% 28 0 28
Source: The Green Papers

Green Primary

This state's Green Party held its presidential preference vote on May 21.

On May 22, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the preference vote.[10]

Oregon Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - - 6
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - 1
Uncommitted - - 1
Total - - 8

Libertarian primary

The Oregon primary was completed on May 27, 2016, the last day to receive mail-in ballots.
Oregon Libertarian presidential primary, May 27, 2016[11][12]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Gary Johnson 422 57%
John McAfee 105 14%
Merry Susan Nehls 34 5%
Austin Petersen (write-in) 25 3%
Darryl Perry 21 3%
Keenan Dunham 18 2%
Derrick Michael Reid 10 1%
Rhett Smith 6 1%
NOTA (write-in) 2 0%
Other write-ins 91 12%
Total 742 100%

Independent Party of Oregon primary

The Independent Party held a primary election on July 18. The party's ballot included Bernie Sanders (D), Hillary Clinton (D), Donald Trump (R), Ted Cruz (R), John Kasich (R), Gary Johnson (L), Jill Stein (G) and a "none of these candidates" choice.[13] Bernie Sanders won the primary election with 31.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Donald Trump's 30.08%. Hillary Clinton came in third with 24.02% of the vote.[14]

General election

Polling

Results

Presidential general election, November 8, 2016[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hillary Clinton 1,026,477 49.76%
Republican Donald Trump 789,654 38.28%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 96,244 4.67%
Pacific Green Jill Stein 51,224 2.48%
write-ins 99,271 4.81%
Total votes 2,062,870 100%

Hillary Clinton carried the state, lengthening the Democratic streak in Oregon to 8 straight contests.

See also

References

  1. ↑ "UNOFFICIAL 2016 GENERAL ELECTION NOVEMBER 8, 2016". Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  2. ↑ "*** 2016 ELECTION NOTICE *** | Independent Party of Oregon". www.indparty.com. Retrieved 2016-06-18.
  3. ↑ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
  4. ↑ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  5. ↑ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. ↑ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
  7. ↑ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  8. ↑ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  9. ↑ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
  10. ↑ "Stein wins six Oregon delegates, Moyowasifza-Curry one – Green Party Watch". Retrieved 2016-06-18.
  11. ↑ "2016 Election Rules". The Libertarian Party of Oregon. Retrieved 19 March 2016.
  12. ↑ "Oregon Libertarian Primary Raw Results". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 8 June 2016.
  13. ↑ "Independent Party of Oregon". Retrieved 23 July 2016.
  14. ↑ "2016 IPO PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT & MEMBER SURVEY RESULTS (UNOFFICIAL)" (PDF). Retrieved 31 July 2016.
  15. ↑ "Unofficial results November 8, 2016 General Election". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved 27 November 2016.
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