Idaho Democratic caucuses, 2016
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Election results by county. Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2016 Idaho Democratic caucuses took place on March 22 in the U.S. state of Idaho as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
Voters convened in each of Idaho's 44 counties at 7 p.m. Mountain Standard Time/6 p.m Pacific Standard Time to proportionally allocate the state's 27 delegates to the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia in July.[1][2][3]
Campaigning
Both major candidates made efforts to either send surrogates or campaign themselves in Idaho before the caucuses took place. On March 17, Olympian Michelle Kwan campaigned for Hillary Clinton at Boise State University, where she spoke to about 150 supporters.[4] Three days later on March 21, the day before the Democratic caucuses, Sen. Sanders spoke to approximately 7,000 supporters at the Taco Bell Arena[5][6] on the campus of Boise State University.[7]
Opinion polling
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Caucus results | March 24, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 78.04% |
Hillary Clinton 21.21% |
Other 0.75% |
Dan Jones & Associates [8]
Margin of error: ± 4.0%
|
February 17–26, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 47% |
Hillary Clinton 45% |
|
Dan Jones & Associates [9]
Margin of error: ± 4.02%
|
October 28 – November 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 35% |
Other candidates 4% Don't know 6% |
Dan Jones & Associates[10]
Margin of error: ± 4%
|
September 22–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 38% |
Bernie Sanders 36% |
Joe Biden 16% Other/DK/NR 10% |
Dan Jones & Associates[11]
Margin of error: ± ?
|
Published August 9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 44% |
Bernie Sanders 22% |
Joe Biden 15% Other/DK/NR 19% |
Idaho Politics Weekly[12]
Margin of error: ± ?
|
June 17 – July 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 19% |
Bernie Sanders 12% |
Joe Biden 10% Someone else 18% Don't know 32% |
Results
Candidate | Popular Vote | Estimated delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Bernie Sanders | 18,640 | 78.04% | 18 | 2 | 20 |
Hillary Clinton | 5,065 | 21.21% | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Rocky De La Fuente | 4 | 0.02% | |||
Uncommitted | 175 | 0.73% | 1 | 1 | |
Total | 23,884 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 27 |
Source: The Green Papers Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates |
Idaho Democratic Party 2016 Caucus State Delegate Election results April 1, 2016 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | CD | Popular vote | State convention delegates | |||
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | ||
Hillary Clinton | CD1 | 2,319 | 21.39% | 45 | 45 | |
CD2 | 2,746 | 21.05% | 41 | 41 | ||
Total | 5,065 | 21.21% | 86 | 86 | ||
Bernie Sanders | CD1 | 8,454 | 78.00% | 154 | 154 | |
CD2 | 10,186 | 78.08% | 144 | 144 | ||
Total | 18,640 | 78.04% | 298 | 298 | ||
Rocky De La Fuente | CD1 | 2 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | |
CD2 | 2 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | ||
Total | 4 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | ||
Uncommitted | CD1 | 64 | 0.59% | 0 | 0 | |
CD2 | 111 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | ||
Total | 175 | 0.73% | 0 | 0 | ||
Grand Total | CD1 | 10,839 | 100% | 199 | 199 | |
CD2 | 13,045 | 100% | 185 | 185 | ||
Total | 23,884 | 100% | 384 | 384 | ||
Source: Idaho Democratic Party 2016 Caucus State Delegate Election results April 1, 2016 |
Gallery
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Sen. Sanders speaks to a packed arena at Boise State University the day before the caucuses
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A portion of the Bernie Sanders side at the Ada County caucus
Analysis
Sanders won Idaho by a four-to-one margin over Hillary Clinton, a similarly large landslide win that Barack Obama had enjoyed over Clinton in the Idaho caucuses eight years prior. In a majority white, rural, and ideologically libertarian electorate, Sanders had the upper hand. He won all counties but one on election day, carrying the major cities of Boise in Boise County, Pocatello in Bannock County, and Idaho Falls in Bonneville County. He was also bolstered by rural support from Southern Idaho to the Northern Panhandle, and in Central Idaho including Treasure Valley. Such regions are among the most remote and radically conservative areas of the country.
The Ada County caucus, held at CenturyLink Arena, which was the largest caucus in U.S. history, easily broke the 2008 record, with many voters waiting in line for three or four hours in brisk wind chill.[13] The mile-long line[14] stretched for several city blocks; more than 9,100 voters participated[15] in what was called a "massive" turnout,[5] especially given Idaho's status as a Republican stronghold.
Sanders won 78.0% of the vote statewide; only his home state of Vermont, Alaska, and Utah have given him a wider margin of victory.[16][17][18]
References
- ↑ http://www.idahostatesman.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs
- ↑ http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2016/feb/01/idaho-parties-trying-to-increase-states-impact/
- ↑ http://idahodems.org/caucus/
- ↑ "Olympic figure skater campaigns for Clinton in Boise". KTVB. 2016-03-17. Retrieved 2016-03-24.
- 1 2 "Massive Turnout Reported at Idaho Caucus Sites". The Rachel Maddow Show. 2016-03-22.
- ↑ KRUESI, KIMBERLEE (2016-03-21). "Senator Bernie Sanders speaks at Taco Bell Arena". KIVI-TV. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
- ↑ Ehlert, Robert (2016-03-21). "Bernie Sanders leaves Boise's Taco Bell Arena after rally". The Idaho Statesman. Retrieved 2016-03-21.
- ↑ Bernick. "Poll: Trump Leads in Idaho Ahead of Tuesday's Primary". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
- ↑ Bryan. "Idaho Democrats Pick Clinton; Republicans Still Undecided". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
- ↑ "ID Politics Weekly". Idaho Politics Weekly. Retrieved 2015-10-15.
- ↑ "Donald Trump, Jeb Bush Lead GOP Field in Idaho". Idaho Politics Weekly. Retrieved 2015-08-10.
- ↑ Bryan. "Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton Lead 2016 Presidential Contenders in the Gem State". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
- ↑ Dentzer, Bill; Moeller, Katy; Webb, Anna; Barker, Rocky (2016-03-23). "Idaho Democrats pick Sanders by wide margin". The Idaho Statesman. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
- ↑ O'Brien, Cortny (2016-03-). "Mile-Long Line At Idaho Democratic Caucus Site". Townhall.com. Retrieved 2016-03-22. Check date values in:
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(help) - ↑ "Bernie Sanders wins Idaho Democratic caucuses". KTVB. 2016-03-23. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
- ↑ Deshais, Nicholas (2016-03-23). "Sanders trounces Clinton in Idaho caucus". The Spokesman Review. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
- ↑ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/VT-D
- ↑ http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/utah