United States presidential election in Georgia, 2004

United States presidential election in Georgia, 2004
Georgia (U.S. state)
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 1,914,254 1,366,149
Percentage 58.0% 41.4%

County Results
  Kerry—70-80%
  Kerry—60-70%
  Kerry—50-60%
  Kerry—<50%
  Bush—<50%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
  Bush—80-90%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Georgia was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 16.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Bush performed almost five points better than he did in 2000. He also won a wide majority of the counties and congressional districts. The results of the state were similar to other states in the Deep south, such as Alabama and Louisiana. Like those states, the exit polling showed racial polarization as Bush dominated among white voters, which make up almost 70% of the vote, and Kerry dominated among African American voters, which made up 30% of the state's population. Software engineer and talk show host Michael Badnarik (L-TX) would finish third in the popular vote in Georgia, getting 0.6% of the vote, which is one of his best statewide performances in the nation.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double digit margin of victory and with over 50% of the vote. The final 3 poll averaged Bush leading 56% to 41%.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $6,656,076.[3] Kerry raised $2,282,977.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[5][6]

Analysis

Like most of the rest of the southern states during the 2004 election, the political demographics of Georgia was based more around the racial majority in each county, with whites voting more Republican and blacks voting more Democratic. Democratic dominance in the state occurred in mostly black majority counties in the Black Belt region as well the urban center of the city of Atlanta (located mostly in central Fulton County) along with its core southern suburbs (Clayton and DeKalb County). Athens-Clarke County, home of the University of Georgia, also supported Kerry's bid, largely as a consequence of being a college town with traditionally left-leaning political views. Since just about every other part of Georgia had a majority white population, Republican dominance occurred in just about every other part of the state including suburban Atlanta where most of Georgia's population resides. Suburban Atlanta also includes northern Fulton county (the former Milton County area) which despite being part of heavily urban,and majority black central Fulton county, is predominately white, suburban, and perhaps the most affluent area in the state of Georgia. This area also voted heavily in favor of Republican presidential incumbent George W. Bush.

In other down ballot races, Republicans gained Georgia's Class III U.S. Senate seat which was then held by Zell Miller (D) with Johnny Isakson's (R) victory in the open seat race to succeed him and also gained control of the Georgia House of Representatives, and thus control of both houses of the Georgia General Assembly (having already gained control of the Georgia State Senate in 2002), for the first time since reconstruction. However, despite these achievements, Democrats gained one of Georgia's U.S. House seats with John Barrow's (D) victory over incumbent Representative Max Burns (R).

Results

United States presidential election in Georgia, 2004[7]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush Dick Cheney 1,914,254 58.0% 15
Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 1,366,149 41.4% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 18,387 0.6% 0
Independent Ralph Nader (write-in) Peter Camejo 2,231 0.1% 0
Constitution Michael Peroutka (write-in) Chuck Baldwin 580 0.0% 0
Green David Cobb (write-in) Pat LaMarche 228 0.0% 0
Republican Tom Tancredo* (Write In) N/A 26 0.0% 0
Write In John J. Kennedy N/A 8 0.0% 0
Write In David C. Byrne N/A 7 0.0% 0
Write In James Alexander-Pace N/A 5 0.0% 0
Totals 3,301,875 100.00% 15
Voter turnout (Voting Age population) 51.7%

(*Tancredo was not the Republican Party's nominee in 2004)

Results breakdown

By county

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others#
Appling 29.0% 1,848 70.5% 4,494 0.4% 28
Atkinson 32.3% 799 67.4% 1,666 0.2% 5
Bacon 24.5% 930 75.2% 2,853 0.2% 9
Baker 53.1% 936 46.5% 821 0.4% 7
Baldwin 46.5% 6,775 52.9% 7,709 0.5% 76
Banks 20.5% 1,149 78.9% 4,410 0.6% 33
Barrow 23.1% 4,095 76.2% 13,520 0.7% 129
Bartow 25.6% 7,741 73.7% 22,311 0.7% 225
Ben Hill 39.4% 2,180 60.1% 3,331 0.5% 29
Berrien 29.3% 1,638 70.0% 3,917 0.8% 44
Bibb 50.8% 29,322 48.7% 28,107 0.6% 325
Bleckley 28.7% 1,281 70.9% 3,167 0.4% 20
Brantley 22.4% 1,258 77.1% 4,333 0.5% 30
Brooks 42.9% 2,193 56.9% 2,912 0.2% 11
Bryan 25.9% 2,590 73.8% 7,363 0.3% 30
Bulloch 35.6% 6,840 63.8% 12,252 0.5% 103
Burke 49.7% 4,213 49.9% 4,232 0.4% 37
Butts 33.3% 2,572 66.2% 5,119 0.6% 44
Calhoun 55.4% 1,119 44.1% 890 0.5% 10
Camden 32.7% 4,637 66.9% 9,488 0.4% 50
Candler 34.8% 1,096 65.0% 2,048 0.2% 7
Carroll 28.9% 10,224 70.3% 24,837 0.7% 256
Catoosa 26.0% 5,807 73.5% 16,406 0.5% 115
Charlton 31.4% 1,064 68.2% 2,311 0.4% 12
Chatham 49.8% 45,630 49.7% 45,484 0.5% 493
Chattahoochee 45.8% 773 53.6% 905 0.7% 11
Chattooga 35.8% 2,809 63.6% 4,992 0.7% 52
Cherokee 20.1% 14,824 79.0% 58,238 0.8% 624
Clarke 58.1% 21,718 40.3% 15,052 1.7% 618
Clay 61.0% 798 38.9% 509 0.2% 2
Clayton 70.5% 56,113 29.0% 23,106 0.5% 381
Clinch 33.1% 750 66.2% 1,501 0.7% 15
Cobb 37.1% 103,955 62.0% 173,467 0.9% 2,444
Coffee 32.3% 3,979 67.4% 8,306 0.4% 47
Colquitt 28.8% 3,378 70.6% 8,296 0.6% 71
Columbia 24.3% 11,442 75.4% 35,549 0.4% 179
Cook 36.0% 1,733 63.6% 3,065 0.5% 22
Coweta 25.0% 10,647 74.5% 31,682 0.5% 216
Crawford 35.2% 1,552 64.2% 2,830 0.5% 24
Crisp 37.7% 2,357 61.8% 3,865 0.5% 29
Dade 29.2% 1,823 69.9% 4,368 0.9% 56
Dawson 17.3% 1,407 81.9% 6,649 0.8% 61
Decatur 40.0% 3,577 59.7% 5,348 0.3% 26
DeKalb 72.6% 200,787 26.6% 73,570 0.8% 2,152
Dodge 34.1% 2,384 65.5% 4,584 0.4% 27
Dooly 51.3% 1,973 48.2% 1,853 0.5% 18
Dougherty 58.8% 19,805 40.7% 13,711 0.4% 146
Douglas 38.0% 15,997 61.4% 25,846 0.6% 261
Early 40.4% 1,701 59.2% 2,495 0.4% 17
Echols 23.3% 231 76.4% 757 0.3% 3
Effingham 22.3% 3,613 77.3% 12,503 0.3% 51
Elbert 39.0% 2,984 60.4% 4,626 0.6% 49
Emanuel 37.1% 2,774 62.5% 4,666 0.4% 30
Evans 34.5% 1,213 65.2% 2,291 0.3% 10
Fannin 28.2% 2,727 71.0% 6,862 0.8% 77
Fayette 28.3% 14,887 71.0% 37,346 0.7% 354
Floyd 31.7% 10,038 67.7% 21,400 0.6% 187
Forsyth 16.2% 9,201 83.1% 47,267 0.8% 436
Franklin 29.9% 2,245 69.6% 5,218 0.5% 39
Fulton 59.3% 199,436 39.9% 134,372 0.8% 2,599
Gilmer 25.1% 2,510 74.0% 7,414 0.9% 90
Glascock 19.7% 250 80.1% 1,016 0.2% 3
Glynn 32.4% 8,962 67.2% 18,608 0.5% 126
Gordon 25.5% 4,028 73.9% 11,671 0.6% 93
Grady 37.7% 3,092 61.9% 5,068 0.4% 34
Greene 40.4% 2,774 59.2% 4,069 0.5% 31
Gwinnett 33.5% 81,708 65.7% 160,445 0.8% 2,026
Habersham 20.7% 2,750 78.6% 10,434 0.6% 85
Hall 21.1% 10,514 78.2% 38,883 0.7% 347
Hancock 76.5% 2,715 23.2% 822 0.4% 13
Haralson 23.9% 2,434 75.6% 7,703 0.5% 56
Harris 27.5% 3,400 71.9% 8,878 0.6% 72
Hart 38.5% 3,479 60.9% 5,500 0.6% 50
Heard 29.0% 1,148 70.5% 2,788 0.5% 20
Henry 32.9% 21,096 66.7% 42,759 0.5% 298
Houston 33.3% 15,054 66.1% 29,862 0.6% 282
Irwin 30.8% 1,051 68.7% 2,347 0.5% 16
Jackson 21.4% 3,468 78.0% 12,611 0.6% 94
Jasper 32.9% 1,558 66.6% 3,157 0.6% 27
Jeff Davis 26.4% 1,277 73.3% 3,549 0.4% 19
Jefferson 52.7% 3,447 46.9% 3,066 0.4% 24
Jenkins 43.9% 1,494 55.8% 1,898 0.4% 12
Johnson 35.5% 1,263 64.1% 2,279 0.3% 11
Jones 35.5% 3,855 63.9% 6,939 0.5% 59
Lamar 37.4% 2,432 62.0% 4,027 0.6% 39
Lanier 36.0% 931 63.4% 1,641 0.6% 15
Laurens 36.4% 6,281 63.1% 10,883 0.4% 73
Lee 20.9% 2,182 78.7% 8,201 0.4% 38
Liberty 51.7% 6,619 47.9% 6,131 0.4% 55
Lincoln 36.6% 1,337 63.1% 2,309 0.3% 11
Long 34.0% 1,033 65.6% 1,994 0.4% 12
Lowndes 39.5% 12,516 60.0% 18,981 0.5% 157
Lumpkin 23.5% 2,091 75.3% 6,690 1.2% 105
McDuffie 37.3% 2,899 62.3% 4,846 0.4% 28
McIntosh 46.9% 2,523 52.7% 2,837 0.4% 19
Macon 60.8% 2,906 38.7% 1,851 0.4% 20
Madison 25.7% 2,527 73.7% 7,254 0.6% 62
Marion 43.1% 1,275 56.5% 1,670 0.3% 10
Meriwether 45.5% 3,709 54.0% 4,402 0.5% 44
Miller 30.1% 736 69.4% 1,694 0.5% 12
Mitchell 46.2% 3,360 53.5% 3,885 0.3% 22
Monroe 32.9% 3,216 66.6% 6,522 0.5% 51
Montgomery 31.8% 1,007 67.8% 2,150 0.4% 12
Morgan 31.8% 2,304 67.7% 4,902 0.5% 37
Murray 27.1% 2,899 72.5% 7,745 0.4% 45
Muscogee 51.3% 32,867 48.2% 30,850 0.5% 289
Newton 37.5% 10,939 62.0% 18,095 0.5% 145
Oconee 26.7% 3,789 72.5% 10,276 0.8% 117
Oglethorpe 33.7% 1,899 65.5% 3,688 0.8% 44
Paulding 23.3% 9,420 76.2% 30,843 0.6% 233
Peach 46.3% 3,961 53.3% 4,554 0.4% 34
Pickens 23.0% 2,444 76.3% 8,115 0.7% 71
Pierce 20.8% 1,234 79.0% 4,680 0.2% 10
Pike 22.3% 1,506 77.0% 5,193 0.7% 46
Polk 31.2% 3,868 68.2% 8,467 0.6% 79
Pulaski 36.8% 1,294 62.6% 2,202 0.6% 20
Putnam 35.5% 2,880 64.0% 5,188 0.5% 43
Quitman 56.3% 543 42.4% 409 1.3% 13
Rabun 28.9% 1,918 70.1% 4,650 1.1% 70
Randolph 52.9% 1,612 46.5% 1,418 0.6% 17
Richmond 56.6% 39,262 42.9% 29,764 0.5% 323
Rockdale 38.9% 12,136 60.5% 18,856 0.6% 189
Schley 30.3% 464 69.5% 1,063 0.2% 3
Screven 42.8% 2,534 56.7% 3,360 0.5% 29
Seminole 39.0% 1,278 60.4% 1,977 0.6% 20
Spalding 35.5% 7,460 64.0% 13,461 0.5% 105
Stephens 28.1% 2,714 71.4% 6,904 0.5% 52
Stewart 60.1% 1,220 39.2% 797 0.7% 14
Sumter 49.3% 5,562 50.4% 5,688 0.4% 41
Talbot 62.1% 1,830 37.5% 1,103 0.4% 12
Taliaferro 64.4% 612 35.2% 335 0.4% 4
Tattnall 27.6% 1,787 72.1% 4,657 0.3% 19
Taylor 43.1% 1,458 56.6% 1,912 0.3% 11
Telfair 42.1% 1,590 57.5% 2,171 0.4% 14
Terrell 51.0% 1,951 48.6% 1,859 0.4% 14
Thomas 38.2% 5,997 61.5% 9,659 0.3% 51
Tift 30.8% 3,864 68.8% 8,619 0.4% 46
Toombs 29.1% 2,567 70.3% 6,196 0.6% 51
Towns 27.1% 1,430 72.4% 3,823 0.5% 27
Treutlen 38.1% 1,052 61.3% 1,691 0.5% 15
Troup 34.8% 7,630 64.7% 14,183 0.5% 114
Turner 38.3% 1,135 61.2% 1,815 0.5% 14
Twiggs 50.9% 2,220 48.4% 2,112 0.8% 33
Union 25.2% 2,327 74.2% 6,847 0.6% 54
Upson 33.9% 3,424 65.7% 6,634 0.3% 33
Walker 27.9% 5,986 71.5% 15,340 0.6% 127
Walton 21.3% 5,887 78.2% 21,594 0.5% 143
Ware 30.6% 3,449 69.1% 7,790 0.4% 42
Warren 54.6% 1,360 45.0% 1,121 0.3% 8
Washington 47.6% 3,733 52.0% 4,081 0.4% 33
Wayne 28.1% 2,683 71.4% 6,819 0.6% 53
Webster 51.1% 515 48.1% 485 0.8% 8
Wheeler 41.3% 847 58.2% 1,192 0.5% 10
White 21.2% 2,016 77.9% 7,403 0.8% 79
Whitfield 26.3% 6,933 73.2% 19,297 0.6% 148
Wilcox 34.4% 902 65.1% 1,705 0.5% 12
Wilkes 44.6% 2,028 54.8% 2,490 0.6% 26
Wilkinson 49.5% 2,235 50.1% 2,261 0.4% 18
Worth 30.2% 2,219 69.4% 5,105 0.4% 29

By congressional district

Bush won 10 of 13 congressional districts.[8]

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 66% 34% Jack Kingston
2nd 50% 50% Sanford D. Bishop, Jr.
3rd 70% 29% Jim Marshall
4th 28% 71% Denise Majette
Cynthia McKinney
5th 26% 74% John Lewis
6th 70% 29% Johnny Isakson
Tom Price
7th 70% 30% John Linder
8th 61% 39% Lynn Westmoreland
9th 77% 23% Charlie Norwood
10th 65% 35% Nathan Deal
11th 71% 29% Phil Gingrey
12th 50% 49% Max Burns
John Barrow
13th 40% 60% David Scott

Electors

Technically the voters of Georgia cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Georgia is allocated 15 electors because it has 13 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 15 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.[9][10]

  1. Anna R. Cablik
  2. Fred Cooper
  3. Nancy N. Coverdell
  4. James C. Edenfield
  5. Karen Handel
  6. Donald F. Layfield
  7. Carolyn Dodgen Meadows
  8. Sunny K. Park
  9. Alec Poitevint
  10. Joan Ransom
  11. Nardender G. Reddy
  12. Jame Raynolds
  13. Norma Mountain Rogers
  14. Eric Tanenblatt
  15. Virgil Williams

References

  1. ↑ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[]
  2. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=13
  3. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. ↑ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  6. ↑ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  7. ↑ "Official General Election Results for US president (2004)" (PDF). p. 5. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved 2009-07-17.
  8. ↑ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  9. ↑ http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/
  10. ↑ http://www.sos.state.ga.us/elections/presidential_electors_04.htm

See also

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