Prince Edward Island general election, 2011

Prince Edward Island general election, 2011
Prince Edward Island
October 3, 2011 (2011-10-03)

27 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party
 
PC
Leader Robert Ghiz Olive Crane
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since April 5, 2003 October 2, 2010
Leader's seat Charlottetown-Brighton Morell-Mermaid
Last election 23 seats, 52.93% 4 seats, 41.35%
Seats before 24 2
Seats won 22 5
Seat change Decrease2 Increase3
Percentage 51.39% 40.18%
Swing Decrease1.54% Decrease1.17%

Map of PEI's ridings coloured in based on how they voted

Premier before election

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

Premier-designate

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

The 64th Prince Edward Island general election was held on October 3, 2011.[1][2]

The Liberal government of Premier Robert Ghiz was elected to a second majority government, winning one seat less than they did in 2007. Ghiz himself considered 18 seats to be a marker for a strong majority. He won 22.

Health care was an important issue during the election, especially in rural areas.[3]

The Progressive Conservatives retained their position as Official Opposition, winning five seats. Olive Crane used the issue of the Provincial Nominee Program during the election, as well as issues surrounding immigration and investments that came under investigation by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police and Federal Minister Jason Kenney during the election.[4]

Results

Both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives lost votes, and lost in the share of vote. Turnout was down and seven thousand fewer voters cast ballots total. The Greens and New Democrats increased both their raw vote and their share of the vote, and the new Island party took nearly a full percentage point. Three incumbent Liberal MLAs were defeated by Progressive Conservatives; the Progressive Conservatives retained one of the two seats they held at the dissolution of the previous legislature, as well as one vacant seat which they held prior to the resignation of Michael Currie from the legislature in March 2011, while the Liberals gained one seat whose Progressive Conservative incumbent did not stand for re-election.

The election saw one riding, Kellys Cross-Cumberland, have six candidates, a rarity in PEI elections.

The PC Party solidified their base in central-east PEI, winning four ridings that were part of the federal riding of Cardigan, and carried the region. The PC Party also managed to win a single seat on the northern tip of the Island.

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results

Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % Change
Liberal Robert Ghiz 27 23 24 22 -1 38,315 51.38% -1.55%
Progressive Conservative Olive Crane 27 4 2 5 +1 29,950 40.16% -1.19%
Green Sharon Labchuk 22 - - 0 3,254 4.36% +1.32%
New Democratic James Rodd 14 - - 0 2,355 3.16% +1.20%
Island Billy Cann 12 * - 0 682 0.91% *
Independents and no affiliation 1 - - 0 15 0.02% -0.71%
Vacant - - 1
Total 103 27 27 27 74,571

* The Island Party of Prince Edward Island was not a registered political party at the time of the 2007 election.

Results by region

Party Name Cardigan Malpeque Charlottetown Egmont Total
  Liberal Seats: 3 8 5 6 22
  Popular Vote: 42.54% 52.87% 54.31% 57.01% 51.38%
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 4 0 0 1 5
  Popular Vote: 49.68% 38.10% 31.16% 38.89% 40.16%
Total seats: 7 8 5 7 27
Parties that won no seats:
  Green Vote: 651 1,191 927 485 3,254
  Popular Vote: 3.32% 4.81% 7.40% 2.74% 4.36%
  NDP Vote: 403 932 873 147 2,355
  Popular Vote: 2.06% 3.77% 6.97% 0.83% 3.16%
  Island Party Vote: 470 98 19 95 682
  Popular Vote: 2.40% 0.40% 0.15% 0.54% 0.91%
  Independent Vote: 15 15
  Popular Vote: 0.06% 0.02%

Incumbent MLAs not running for re-election

Progressive Conservative

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal Progressive Conservatives Greens New Democrats
Corporate Research Associates September 29, 2011 HTML 53 36 5 5
Corporate Research Associates August 28, 2011 PDF 59 31 3 7
Corporate Research Associates June 10, 2011 PDF 51 35 2 13
Corporate Research Associates March 9, 2011 PDF 62 25 2 11
Corporate Research Associates December 6, 2010 PDF 53 34 8 4
Corporate Research Associates August 24, 2010 PDF 61 30 2 6
Corporate Research Associates May 31, 2010 PDF 61 27 3 8
Corporate Research Associates February 24, 2010 HTML 64 26 4 6
Corporate Research Associates December 3, 2009 HTML 57 31 3 9
Corporate Research Associates August 2009 HTML 62 27 5 6
Corporate Research Associates May 2009 HTML 57 32 4 7
Corporate Research Associates February 2009 HTML 64 28 2 6
Corporate Research Associates November 2008 HTML 55 31 5 8
Corporate Research Associates August 2008 HTML 63 25 6 6
Corporate Research Associates May 2008 HTML 61 27 4 7
Corporate Research Associates February 2008 HTML 68 34 4 6
Corporate Research Associates November 2007 HTML 64 22 5 5
Election 2007 May 28, 2007 HTML 52.9 41.4 3.0 1.9

Riding by riding results

Cardigan

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Belfast-Murray River Charlie McGeoghegan
1,135 - (45.86%)
Darlene Compton
1,127 - (45.54%)
John Burhoe
114 - (4.61%)
Andy Clarey
99 - (4.00%)
  Charlie McGeoghegan
Georgetown-St. Peters Kevin Gotell
1,214 - (41.08%)
  Steven Myers
1,575 - (53.30%)
Jason Furness
47 - (1.59%)
Jane Dunphy
87 - (2.94%)
Ray Cantelo
32 - (1.08%)
  Vacant
Montague-Kilmuir Allen Roach
1,127 - (46.57%)
Greg Farrell
1,004 - (41.49%)
Vanessa Young
89 - (3.68%)
  Billy Cann
200 - (8.26%)
  Jim Bagnall
Morell-Mermaid Dan MacDonald
1,033 - (36.51%)
  Olive Crane
1,649 - (58.29%)
Darcie Lanthier
114 - (4.03%)
Roger Nowe
33 - (1.17%)
Olive Crane
Souris-Elmira Allan Campbell
1,272 - (47.46%)
Colin LaVie
1,302 - (48.58%)
Jason MacGregor
106 - (3.96%)
Allan Campbell
Stratford-Kinlock Cynthia Dunsford
1,241 - (34.15%)
  James Aylward
2,020 - (55.59%)
Donald Killorn
168 - (4.62%)
Chris van Ouwerkerk
205 - (5.64%)
  Cynthia Dunsford
Vernon River-Stratford   Alan McIsaac
1,311 - (50.52%)
Mary Ellen McInnis
1,054 - (40.62%)
Marion Pirch
119 - (4.59%)
Edith Perry
111 - (4.28%)
  Alan McIsaac

Malpeque

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Borden-Kinkora George Webster
1,590 - (49.41%)
Jamie Fox
1,468 - (45.62%)
Conor Leggott
160 - (4.97%)
    George Webster
Cornwall-Meadowbank   Ron MacKinley
1,686 - (63.46%)
Larry Hogan
756 - (28.45%)
Allieanna Ballagh
172 - (6.47%)
Jay Gallant
43 - (1.62%)
Ron MacKinley
Kellys Cross-Cumberland   Valerie Docherty
1,768 - (54.10%)
Neila Auld
960 - (29.38%)
Peter Bevan-Baker
306 - (9.36%)
Jesse Reddin Cousins
182 - (5.56%)
Paul Smitz
37 - (1.13%)
Arthur C. Mackenzie
15 - (0.46%)
Valerie Docherty
Kensington-Malpeque   Wes Sheridan
1,820 - (57.18%)
Wilber Lamont
1,165 - (36.60%)
George S. Hunter
198 - (6.22%)
Wes Sheridan
Rustico-Emerald Carolyn Bertram
1,498 (49.50%)
Brad Trivers
1,341 - (44.32%)
Ron Wagner
187- (6.18%)
      Carolyn Bertram
York-Oyster Bed   Robert Vessey
1,988 - (55.30%)
Martie Murphy
1,235 - (34.25%)
Jenet Clement
122 - (3.39%)
James Rodd
250 - (6.95%)
  Robert Vessey

Charlottetown

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Charlottetown-Brighton   Robert Ghiz
1,228 - (52.46%)
Linda Clements
699 - (29.86%)
Elizabeth Schoales
238 - (10.17%)
Trevor John LeClerc
176 - (7.52%)
      Robert Ghiz
Charlottetown-Lewis Point   Kathleen Casey
1,411 - (52.01%)
Parnell Kelly
895 - (32.99%)
Charles Sanderson
132 - (4.87%)
Jacquie Robichaud
275 - (10.14%)
      Kathleen Casey
Charlottetown-Parkdale   Doug Currie
1,510 - (61.76%)
Bernie Flynn
665 - (27.20%)
Eliza Knockwood
152 - (6.22%)
Noel Pauley
118 - (4.83%)
    Doug Currie
Charlottetown-Sherwood   Robert Mitchell
1,538 - (53.93%)
Mike Gillis
1,060 - (37.17%)
Sarah Jones
127 - (4.45%)
Kat Murphy
127 - (4.45%)
    Robert Mitchell
Charlottetown-Victoria Park   Richard Brown
1,112- (51.29%)
Myles MacKinnon
582- (26.85%)
Sharon Labchuk
278 - (12.82%)
Rita Jackson
177 - (8.16%)
Philip Stewart
19 - (0.88%)
    Richard Brown
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park Buck Watts
1,304 - (48.53%)
Glen Kelly
1,136 - (42.28%)
Helene LaRouche
93 - (3.46%)
Ron Kelly
136 - (5.06%)
Gary Chipman
18 - (0.67%)
  Buck Watts
West Royalty-Springvale Bush Dumville
1,432 - (45.93%)
Gary Bowness
1,369 - (43.91%)
Liz Vaine
151 - (4.84%)
Andrew Want
166 - (5.32%)
    Bush Dumville

Egmont

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Alberton-Roseville   Pat Murphy
1,604 - (56.18%)
David Gordon
1,137 - (39.82%)
Gerald O'Meara
71 - (2.49%)
Mitch Gallant
43 - (1.51%)
    Pat Murphy
Evangeline-Miscouche   Sonny Gallant
1,722 - (77.22%)
Edgar Arsenault
418 - (18.74%)
Melissa Hotte
64 - (2.87%)
Arthur Arsenault
26 - (1.17%)
    Sonny Gallant
O'Leary-Inverness   Robert Henderson
1,431 - (55.51%)
Daniel MacDonald
1,147 - (44.49%)
        Robert Henderson
Summerside-St. Eleanors   Gerard Greenan
1,426 - (51.76%)
Merlin Cormier
1,037 - (37.64%)
Caleb Adams
145 - (5.26%)
Paulette Halupa
147 - (5.30%)
  Gerard Greenan
Summerside-Wilmot   Janice Sherry
1,382 - (54.74%)
Shirley Anne Cameron
937 - (37.12%)
Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott
205 - (8.12%)
    Janice Sherry
Tignish-Palmer Road Neil LeClair
1,142 (48.74%)
Hal Perry
1,175 - (50.15%)
  Derek D. Peters
26 - (1.11%)
    Neil LeClair
Tyne Valley-Linkletter   Paula Biggar
1,390 - (57.27%)
Jim Henwood
1,037 - (42.73%)
      Paula Biggar

References

  1. Wayne Thibodeau (January 11, 2011). "Next election will be fought on new ideas, not new spending: Ghiz". the Guardian. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
  2. John Ibbitson (January 10, 2011). "Can Harper wait out the election traffic jam?". Ottawa Notebook. Toronto: Globe and Mail. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
  3. "Ghiz wins 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. October 3, 2011.
  4. "Crane and 4 Tories voted in". CBC News. October 4, 2011.
  5. "Currie to run in Cardigan". CBC News, March 28, 2011.
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